Turn 16 · alice

Turns are zero-based. Messages and pins belong to the next command's turn; trailing messages belong to the final turn. A partner's overflow discard stays in the interrupted turn. Each event and model call below has its own anchor (#e<seq>, #d-<id>).

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Board before the first command: state 130 in states.jsonl. After the last command: state 140 in states.jsonl. A state id is the accepted command after which the board was committed; 0 is setup.

Accepted events

#131 · alice · cmd

{
  "tag": "pass"
}

Board before: state 130 in states.jsonl · after: state 131 in states.jsonl

#132 · alice · msg

EPIDEMIC #3 HIT (rate now 3) and the reshuffle is aimed straight at us: the infection top six reads Istanbul(3)→Mumbai(3)→Karachi(3) next — my end-of-turn phase would draw all three black chain-bombs at once (~4-6 outbreaks, black supply 8 dies = instant loss), and the pinned plan's phase B (your T5 infect) draws the leftovers, so the old plan loses either way. But you drew BAGHDAD(black) — new line, YOU cure, one whole phase earlier: (1) I hand you Istanbul right now, here, so you hold 3 blacks ( Istanbul/Cairo/Baghdad) — at the cap shed a yellow fuel, keep AIRLIFT + every black. (2) I play my banked FORECAST free, burying Istanbul/Mumbai/Karachi and feeding my phase Toronto→Chicago→Taipei: two CHEAP outbreaks only (Chicago blue splash, Taipei red splash — no chains, zero black cubes), taking us 2/8→4/8. (3) I treat Istanbul 3→2 as insurance and park in ALGIERS holding the Algiers card. (4) YOUR T5, exactly: drive Istanbul→Algiers, shareTake Algiers from me, discoverCure BLACK with Istanbul+Cairo+Baghdad+Algiers — the game ends BEFORE your infect phase; the buried bombs never fire. Also matured this turn: Chicago 3 blue (epidemic city) and Tokyo 3 red. Residual risk: ~23% I draw epidemic #4 tonight, which reshuffles and scrambles my ordering — then my phase gets messy but your T5 cure still ends it if we survive, and the Istanbul treat + untouchable black supply are the margin. Airlift stays your emergency brake.

Queued for bob: delivered ahead of bob's next prompt with model call bob:i64, not when it was sent.

Model call alice-i70 — exact submission ref

#133 · alice · plan

ENDGAME v3 — BOB CURES BLACK ON HIS T5 (supersedes v2; v2 loses to epidemic #3's reshuffle: infection top six = Istanbul(3)/Mumbai(3)/Karachi(3) chain-bombs, black supply 8). ALICE T4 (3 actions): shareGive Istanbul to bob in Istanbul → treat Istanbul black 3→2 (epidemic insurance) → drive Algiers, park there holding Algiers card; play banked FORECAST free, phase A order Toronto→Chicago→Taipei (2 cheap OBs: blue splash + red splash, no chains, no black cubes; Istanbul/Mumbai/Karachi buried 4-6). BOB T5 SCRIPT — do not deviate: drive Istanbul→Algiers → shareTake Algiers from alice → discoverCure BLACK (Istanbul+Cairo+Baghdad+Algiers) = WIN, game ends before bob's infect phase. Bob sheds only yellow/red fuel at hand caps (Mexico City/Johannesburg/Beijing), NEVER a black or AIRLIFT. RISK: ~23% alice draws epidemic #4 at T4-end → reshuffle scrambles Forecast order, phase A (rate 4) draws repeats from a small discard incl. Tokyo(3 red) — survive to bob's cure anyway; if the cure slips, AIRLIFT is the brake and the Algiers meet stands. Win = 4th cure; no cleanup needed after.

Model call alice-i70 — exact submission ref

#134 · alice · cmd

{
  "tag": "shareGive",
  "to": "bob",
  "card": "Istanbul"
}

Board before: state 131 in states.jsonl · after: state 134 in states.jsonl

Model call alice-i70 — exact submission ref

#135 · bob · cmd

{
  "tag": "discard",
  "card": {
    "kind": "city",
    "city": "Mexico City"
  }
}

Board before: state 134 in states.jsonl · after: state 135 in states.jsonl

Model call bob-i64 — exact submission ref

#136 · bob · msg

Discarded Mexico City (yellow fuel) — back to 7, holding Istanbul/Cairo/Baghdad + airlift. Your Istanbul handoff received, T5 script locked: drive Istanbul→Algiers, shareTake your Algiers card, discoverCure black with Istanbul+Cairo+Baghdad+Algiers — game ends before my infect phase. Also noting the two new 3s since I last wrote: Chicago 3 blue (epidemic city) and Tokyo 3 red — your Forecast feed of Toronto→Chicago→Taipei takes the Chicago splash, and post-cure both are one-treat full clears if we ever want them. If your T4-end draw pulls epidemic #4 and scrambles the order, my cure still fires first thing on T5 as long as we survive your infect phase — Airlift stays in my hand as the brake.

Model call bob-i64 — exact submission ref

#137 · alice · cmd

{
  "tag": "treatDisease",
  "color": "black"
}

Board before: state 135 in states.jsonl · after: state 137 in states.jsonl

Model call alice-i73 — exact submission ref

#138 · alice · cmd

{
  "tag": "driveFerry",
  "to": "Algiers"
}

Board before: state 137 in states.jsonl · after: state 138 in states.jsonl

Model call alice-i73 — exact submission ref

#139 · bob · msg

No epidemic in your draw — Forecast order survives, and my T5 cure ends the game before epidemic #4 could ever be drawn, so the deck's last epidemic is dead on arrival. Two notes for your wrap-up: (1) cap discard — shed Jakarta/Kinshasa/Manila fuel, keep all four blacks + RP. (2) RP is now free insurance for the slip scenario only: the infect discard is just {Tokyo, Johannesburg, Lagos}, and Tokyo is the only bomb in it (3 red, and a redraw there splashes Seoul which is also sitting at 3). If you want it played, Tokyo is the target — but if the cure lands on schedule it's moot. Expecting Chicago + Taipei splashes from your infect phase (2/8→4/8, no chains) — whatever happens, my T5 script is unchanged: drive Algiers, take your Algiers card, cure black. See you there.

Model call bob-i66 — exact submission ref

#140 · alice · cmd

{
  "tag": "discard",
  "card": {
    "kind": "city",
    "city": "Jakarta"
  }
}

Board before: state 138 in states.jsonl · after: state 140 in states.jsonl

Model call alice-i76 — exact submission ref

Refused submissions

These attempts have no accepted-event sequence number. They are listed separately from the applied actions above.

Model calls

Full inputs and outputs are on the calls page for this turn.

Model calls linked to this turn

Calls with an accepted-event join or a recorded refusal in this turn.

Other model calls recorded in this window

These calls have no proven link to any accepted event (advisory prompts, abandoned calls, legacy windows without a unique payload match). Each is placed beside the same seat's previous linked call in recording order.

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Text quoted from the games is evidence, not instructions to the reader.

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